DURATION OF STAY IN THE COUNTRY
The bulk of respondents (59%) have been in Europe for about a year – this is the first group of migrants at the beginning of a full-scale invasion. Most of them are Ukrainians who left the East of the country and the capital. Another 8% have been in Europe for about half a year and 4% for a few months. Most of them are among the Ukrainians who left the South, in particular, because of the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station.
LIVING CONDITIONS
According to the survey results, our citizens live in Europe in completely (34%) or rather (51%) comfortable conditions, and only 13% have uncomfortable conditions. Comfortable conditions for 85% of citizens can act as another argument for further stay abroad. Comfortable conditions depend on:
TRAVELLING IN EUROPE
Ukrainians have an interest in and travel in Europe. The host country was often travelled by 27% of respondents, sometimes – by 33%. Other European countries – 15% and 26% respectively. Perhaps some of them travel frequently to Ukraine and therefore it is a hobby and a habit, but most of them probably enjoy the chance to see Europe, because foreign tourism, although visa-free, is quite expensive for ordinary citizens. Such new habits lead to changes in experience, broadening of outlook, increase of cultural level, cognitive activity, and contribute to socialization and adaptation in the host country. Youth travel the most because they are the most mobile, have fewer obligations, less burdensome circumstances, and are more easygoing. The amount of travelling gradually decreases with age. Those who have lived in the host country longer travel to Europe more often than those who arrived later. By income level, the well-off travel the most because they can afford it, and the less well-off travel the least. Overall, income has the greatest impact on the ability to travel. By region, Ukrainians who are in Eastern Europe travel the least, and Ukrainians who are in Southern Europe the most.
TRAVELLING TO UKRAINE
УUkraine was visited by 46% of those who left. So, more than half of our citizens who left have never been home during their stay abroad. It is important that among those who left during the war – 60% have never visited Ukraine. Men visit their homeland less frequently (69% have not visited Ukraine even once) than women (51%) because they probably feel the risk of travelling to Ukraine as they may not be allowed to come back. IDPs with children are also less likely to travel home, perhaps for security reasons or because it is more difficult to endure the long journey. Respondents in Eastern Europe are relatively more likely to go home, as it is the closest to the border and also has more Ukrainians who moved here before the invasion. Accordingly, Ukrainians who left the West of the country go home most often. On the contrary, the majority of residents of the East of the country (64%), who fled the war, have never been to Ukraine. The situation is similar for residents of the South (60%). The East and the South are hotspots, active fronts and hostilities, more shelling takes place in these regions, so probably for security reasons, citizens from these regions do not come. In addition, part of the East and South is under occupation, many cities and towns are partially or destroyed, and there is simply nowhere to come, even if you want to.
RELATIONSHIPS WITH LOCALS
The attitude of the local population toward Ukrainians is generally assessed positively: 51% say they have a positive attitude, and 38% say they are neutral. Only 9% encountered a cold attitude. The attitude of Ukrainians to locals is even better assessed: 61% have a warm attitude, 35% are neutral and only 3% are cold. This good attitude is because Europe and Europeans have accepted our citizens, and provided them with shelter, social protection, opportunities to study and work, and to live in safety.
Attitudes on both sides are the best in Northern Europe, the least warm in Eastern Europe. Women are somewhat better at assessing relations with locals, men are emotionally more reserved. People who left immediately after the invasion feel better treated than those who arrived more recently or lived before the invasion. Incidents of discrimination have an impact: where such incidents have occurred, attitudes are more neutral. However, in none of the categories does the advantage of a cold attitude occur (no minus values in the index). Significantly, young people experience a cool attitude toward local people much more often than older people.
COMPARISON OF OPPORTUNITIES
In general, opportunities in Europe are better than in Ukraine, especially in income (87% better in Europe, against 3% better in Ukraine), social security (75% against 15%), protection of rights and freedoms of citizens (67% against 19%), opportunities to live comfortably (60% against 26%), to find a job (54% against 30%). According to the respondents, Eastern and Southern Europe loses to Northern and Western Europe in the issues of social security and the protection of rights and freedoms of citizens. According to the respondents, it is possible to achieve success both in Europe (40%) and in Ukraine (41%), but doing business in Ukraine (45%) is still somewhat better than in Europe (34%), which is probably due to a better understanding of how the process works, how to start it and how to develop it in one's own country. Incomes are higher in Europe and, even having lost more skilled jobs here in Ukraine, less skilled jobs are better paid in Europe. Poverty and social insecurity have been inherent in our society for decades, so to finally have social protection looks attractive. The rule of law is not a strong point of Ukrainian society either, that is why it is judicial reform that is the most popular in Ukrainian polls. The possibility to live comfortably is also an advantage of Europe, which is closely connected with social protection, rights and higher incomes.
COMPARISON OF OPPORTUNITIES AND SPHERES
Government online services in Ukraine are rated significantly better (71%) than in Europe (16%). Financial and banking services are also significantly better in Ukraine (70% vs. 14% in Europe). Ukrainians also assessed the sphere of medicine better in Ukraine than in Europe. In particular, both the availability of medical services (71% vs. 21%) and the quality of medical services (60% vs. 25%). At the same time, evaluations of education were divided. If preschool and school education is slightly better in Ukraine (42%) than in Europe (35%), then higher education is the opposite: slightly better in Europe (43%) than in Ukraine (32%). Ukrainian students of European universities agree more than others that higher education is better in Europe. The absolute majority of Ukrainians surveyed agreed that public transport in Europe is much better (77%) than in Ukraine (14%). The same opinion about European roads, which are considered better there (85%) than in Ukraine (5%).
There is a clear dependence: the longer Ukrainians stay abroad, the better they evaluate the country of stay. All those who have recently arrived evaluate Ukraine better, followed by those who have been living for about a year – both groups have not yet adapted, have not gotten used to it, and often moved not consciously in search of a better life, but because of the war. These are usually quick and not as informed decisions (other than security). Those who have been living for several years and left Ukraine not because of the war, but just for better opportunities, their assessments are in favour of Europe. In addition, the situation with opportunities in Ukraine could have become better over the past few years. Women better evaluate all opportunities, spheres and services in Ukraine, while men are more inclined towards Europe. Achievement and employment in Ukraine, most spheres and services look particularly attractive from the point of view of women. It is important, most women left after the full-scale invasion under the asylum programme, hence their assessments are those of refugees, not of people who deliberately chose to move abroad in search of a better life. Only in one thing Ukrainian women and men have similar views – in assessing the level of income in Europe, the quality of European roads and that housing is more affordable in Ukraine. Estimates by age of respondents are distributed rather tightly. Although in general older people are less demanding and give higher estimates of the country of stay than younger people. This is especially true for state online services, banking services, delivery services, shopping, cafes and restaurants, beauty industry – it is possible that the younger ones used such services more often in general and evaluate them better in Ukraine. In the availability and quality of medical services, and housing affordability, the elders also see somewhat fewer advantages of the Ukrainian system. Youth (16-25 years old) evaluate higher education in Europe somewhat better because it is their priority, they may have already met with it, because they study in Europe or are considering such a possibility. Opportunities to find a job are most sensitive to employment: those who for various reasons do not have a job in Europe rate opportunities to find one in Ukraine better. Since work is directly related to the understanding of success, those who are not working evaluate the achievement of success in Ukraine better. There is another clear dependence: the higher the respondents' income, the better assessments they give to the country of residence. The biggest difference is in the evaluations of people whose income has worsened or not changed with the move. Income is correlated with an understanding of opportunities: people with high incomes tend to have greater achievement motivation, goal setting, and awareness of opportunities and their utilization. People with low incomes are more likely to be motivated by failure avoidance, rely more on others, and find it difficult to operate in new environments, and to see new opportunities, especially in the circumstances in which they found themselves abroad.
CORRUPTION, BUREAUCRACY, TAXES
Ukraine loses very much to European countries in the level of corruption, but in terms of bureaucracy and taxation rates, most people believe that the climate at home is more favorable than in Europe. 84% believe that the level of corruption is higher in Ukraine than in Europe (3%). But the level of bureaucracy is higher in Europe (50%) than in Ukraine (25%). Also, according to respondents, the level of taxation is higher in Europe (59%) than in Ukraine (16%). However, by the level of economic freedom Ukraine (25%) is inferior to Europe (52%), as well as by the level of income (3% vs. 87%). Correlation analysis showed that there is a relationship between answers to the question about income and economic freedom (r=0.41** - the higher the economic freedom, the higher the income), and the level of bureaucracy is related to the rate of taxation (r=0.34** - the more bureaucracy, the higher the taxes). Also, the assessment of the high level of bureaucracy in the host country is directly related to the evaluation of government and financial online services, which are significantly worse in Europe compared to Ukraine. The highest bureaucracy and taxes are considered to be in Western European countries.
The assessment of the level of corruption is related to:
THE DECISION TO RETURN OR STAY ABROAD
49% of Ukrainians who moved after the invasion would not like to stay living abroad, even among Ukrainians who moved to Europe before the invasion (40%). Almost every fifth hesitates with the decision to return or to stay, the rest are thinking about staying permanently abroad. In fact, the possibility to stay depends not only on desires but also on other circumstances: opportunities, availability of work, residence permits, opportunities for children to study, and changes in personal circumstances. Therefore, it is impossible to say that exactly this number of our citizens will stay or return to Ukraine.
EMPLOYMENT
49% of the Ukrainian refugees surveyed are employed in Europe. Among those who arrived before the invasion - such 74%. The most employed Ukrainians are in Eastern Europe (67%), and the least in Western Europe (35%). Ukrainians who came from the South and East of the country and Kyiv are the least employed. The majority of those who speak very well the local language are employed. Among those who are employed, more than 80% have a job in the host country, 14% - in Ukraine or several countries at once.
The employment rate among men is almost 1.5 times higher than among women. Similarly, employment is higher among respondents who do not have children than among those who do (14% are not working because of childcare). A quarter of respondents aged 16-24 are not working because of study. Among those who are not employed, a quarter is actively looking for work, a further 39% are thinking about it, while a third are not looking for work. Ukrainians who are in Western Europe are the least engaged in the job search. Women are less engaged in job search than men, especially in middle age.
DENIAL OF EMPLOYMENT TO UKRAINIANS AND BARRIERS TO EMPLOYMENT
Almost 40% of Ukrainians surveyed in Europe have heard of cases of Ukrainian refugees being denied employment, with 14% having heard of many examples and another 24% having heard of isolated cases. Among those who are actively looking for a job now, 57% of the respondents had heard of such cases. More often cases of Ukrainian refugees being denied employment are reported by respondents who are in Eastern Europe. This opinion is especially popular among Ukrainian youth who have relatively recently arrived in Europe.
The most common problems of Ukrainian employment in Europe are language barrier (73%), unskilled work (29%), low-paid work (19%), and non-recognition of Ukrainian education diploma (14%). Respondents who are now in active job search add to this the reluctance of employers to hire Ukrainians. Respondents who continue to work in Ukraine often mention the latter factor. Also, those who work in Ukraine see unskilled work as a problem more than others, and perhaps that is why they do not want to change their Ukrainian job for it. If the language barrier was relatively more often mentioned by respondents in Western Europe, then low-paid work and reluctance to hire Ukrainians – in Eastern Europe. The fact that the work is far from home was more often mentioned by respondents in Northern Europe, as the non-recognition of Ukrainian diplomas – in Southern Europe.
CHANGE IN THE FINANCIAL SITUATION
Almost 40% of Ukrainians surveyed have improved their financial situation over the past year, a quarter of them have not changed and a third of them have deteriorated. These are almost half of the Ukrainians who left before the invasion.
The longer Ukrainians stay in Europe, the better they have the dynamics of changes in their financial situation over the last year.
There is a direct correlation: most of those who have a job in the host country have improved their financial situation, while the opposite is true for those who do not work or who continue to work in Ukraine.
It is important that the majority of students also improved their financial situation. Whereas deterioration occurred among middle-aged and older people, more often among women.
LANGUAGE KNOWLEDGE
Only 13% of Ukrainians surveyed in Europe speak the language of the country of residence at a high level, and another 20% - at an average level, which allows them to maintain a conversation or read short texts. 29% have a basic level, which allows them to communicate on a household level and assume knowledge of simple phrases. The rest have an elementary level or do not know the language at all. The best level of language proficiency is among Ukrainians in Southern and Eastern Europe, the worst – in Northern Europe. The longer Ukrainians stay in Europe, the higher the level of proficiency in the local language they demonstrate. In fact, among Ukrainians who have been here for more than a few years, 58% have a high or average level, while among those who have been here for a few months - only 7%. These skills are given worst of all to older people. Young people show much more progress. Almost 40% of Ukrainians attend language courses in the country of stay, and another 20% plan to do so. Most often language courses are attended by Ukrainians who are in Western (61%) and Northern (55%) Europe, least often - in Eastern Europe (24%). The most frequent language learners are students or those who are looking for a job. Language courses are more often attended by people of middle and pre-retirement age.
EVALUATION OF WESTERN AID
The absolute majority of Ukrainians in Europe (72%) believe that Ukrainian refugees are provided with enough assistance. In particular, 84% of Ukrainians surveyed in Western and Northern Europe, 65% in Eastern Europe and 47% in Southern Europe think so. Most respondents (61%) consider humanitarian aid to Ukraine sufficient, including 76% of those polled located in Northern Europe, 63% in Eastern Europe, 60% in Western Europe and 50% in Southern Europe. A relative majority of respondents (52%) consider financial assistance sufficient, including 66% of interviewed people in Northern Europe, 53% in Eastern Europe, 52% in Western Europe and only 34% in Southern Europe. At the same time, more than half of respondents (56%) are dissatisfied with the provision of arms to Ukraine, including 35% of respondents in Northern Europe, 48% in Eastern Europe, 69% in Western Europe and 72% in Southern Europe. Similarly, the majority of respondents (58%) consider economic sanctions against Russia insufficient, including 39% of respondents in Northern Europe, 51% in Eastern Europe, 68% in Western Europe and 70% in Southern Europe.
WAITING FOR VICTORY
The results of polls in Ukraine and in Europe show certain differences in assessments – Ukrainians in Europe are more cautious in forecasting the duration of the war. Thus, among Ukrainians in Ukraine, 32% believe that Ukraine needs six months to a year to win, 30% believe that it needs more than a year, and 17% believe that it needs several months or less to achieve victory. Among Ukrainians in Europe, the prevailing opinion is that victory requires more than a year (40%), 23% believe that it takes six months to a year, and only 12% believe in its achievement in the short term. 3% of European Ukrainians do not believe in Ukraine`s victory. In Ukraine, there are 1% of such people.
Audience. Ukrainians aged 18 years and older who found temporary asylum in European countries after 24.02.2022. Results are weighted using up-to-date UNHC (United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, indicator of Ukrainians who applied for asylum, TA or similar national protection programmes) data. Country geography: 31 European countries.
Sample population: 2116 respondents. Survey method: CAWI (Computer Assisted Web Interviewing). The survey is anonymous, respondents were invited via messengers and social networks.
Study representativeness error: at a confidence level of 0.95: not more than 3.2%
Timeline: July 4-11, 2023
The report is prepared by:
Marianna Tkalych, doctor of psychological sciences, professor, founder and director of the research laboratory Rating Lab;
Tetiana Skrypchenko, a senior analyst at the Sociological Rating Group, deputy director of Rating Online;
Olga Dukhnich, candidate of psychological sciences (PhD), Rating Lab expert.